Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1360
· median 1360
· range 1360–1360
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1157
Q3 1335
1393
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
