Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-3-2
overall winrate
69.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.4%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1217
· median 1293
· range 1046–1313
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1157
Q3 1335
1393
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 41.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.5% | +8.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.5% | +8.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 16.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.8% | +2.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
