← Hobbies Corner DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Hobbies Corner DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 90.0% | 71.6% | 59.7% | 59.3% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 15.8% | 12 | 66.7% | 53.8% | 54.5% | 51.2% | 1468 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 21.1% | 13 | 53.8% | 54.4% | 54.1% | 54.0% | 1337 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.7% | 51.0% | 49.3% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1391 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.5% | 10 | 45.0% | 38.0% | 48.1% | 45.1% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.8% | 46.7% | 48.0% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 15.8% | 9 | 44.4% | 53.7% | 44.5% | 48.5% | 1357 | — |
| 9 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 39.7% | 41.7% | 42.9% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Norm Tera Silvie | 2 | 10.5% | 5 | 10.0% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 46.6% | 1220 | ↓ low |