← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
10-2-2
overall winrate
78.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +5.3 per match
expected value
61.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1416
· range 1416–1416
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1245
Q3 1387
1591
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 58.5% | +4.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.6% | +3.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
