← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-4-3
overall winrate
65.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.2%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
55.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1479
· median 1479
· range 1419–1539
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1245
Q3 1387
1591
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.1% | +3.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.6% | +16.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.3% | +8.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
