← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
14-7-1
overall winrate
65.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1456
· median 1456
· range 1321–1591
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1245
Q3 1387
1591
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 51.9% | +1.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.5% | +8.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.4% | -3.5 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
