← 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 家家美樂地 8月23日 Store Championship
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-4-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1243
· median 1243
· range 1222–1264
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1245
Q3 1387
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 33.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.8% | +6.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
