Fire SuitedTier 2
at 卡庫店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 44.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.2% | -16.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.4% | -6.4 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rouge, Ace of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Da Qiao, Cinderbinder | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wonderland's Reign | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Straight Flare | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Spades | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |