Fire SuzakuTier 1
at 卡庫店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +2.4 |
| Fire Suited | 19.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 50 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 50 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeguard Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rouge, Ace of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Da Qiao, Cinderbinder | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Searing Truth | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Rile the Abyss | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Five of Spades | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Four of Hearts | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Under Fire | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Liminal Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mandate of Honor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Creative Shock | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oppressive Presence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Two of Hearts | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verita, Queen of Hearts | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Restorative Flame | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Noire, Ace of Spades | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Two of Spades | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ashen Riffle | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Impact Hammer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wonderland's Reign | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Straight Flare | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Spades | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |