Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at 卡庫店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
38.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1233
· median 1233
· range 1233–1233
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1233
Q3 1352
1419
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 42.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Suited | 19.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
