← KouritenSG Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at KouritenSG Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 100.0% | 63.4% | 60.0% | 54.6% | 1488 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 70.0% | 63.4% | 57.3% | 57.2% | 1304 | — |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 70.0% | 56.0% | 56.3% | 53.9% | 1392 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.4% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.1% | 56.0% | 50.8% | 1633 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 3 | 10.3% | 17 | 58.8% | 54.1% | 55.5% | 53.7% | 1298 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.4% | 54.3% | 51.8% | 1320 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Byakko | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 48.2% | 53.2% | 51.3% | 1306 | — |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 6.9% | 10 | 55.0% | 54.0% | 52.4% | 51.6% | 1290 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 6.9% | 9 | 61.1% | 60.9% | 52.2% | 53.8% | 1158 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 6 | 20.7% | 19 | 52.6% | 52.8% | 52.1% | 51.6% | 1304 | — |
| 11 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 6.9% | 10 | 45.0% | 53.0% | 48.8% | 50.2% | 1277 | — |
| 12 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 75.0% | 66.5% | 48.0% | 51.1% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.6% | 44.8% | 45.6% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 32.7% | 43.3% | 42.2% | 1123 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 3 | 10.3% | 16 | 28.1% | 37.3% | 42.6% | 44.7% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.2% | 42.3% | 44.2% | 1078 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 6.9% | 7 | 21.4% | 35.1% | 39.3% | 42.0% | 1141 | ↓ low |