← 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.3% | 12 | 91.7% | 64.4% | 64.0% | 56.3% | 1543 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 5.3% | 10 | 70.0% | 53.8% | 54.1% | 50.3% | 1502 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Rile | 7 | 36.8% | 38 | 53.9% | 51.1% | 53.2% | 51.7% | 1386 | — |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.3% | 9 | 55.6% | 47.8% | 50.7% | 48.5% | 1359 | — |
| 5 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 10.5% | 13 | 46.2% | 45.2% | 50.2% | 48.4% | 1442 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1323 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 22 | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.1% | 49.1% | 1402 | — |
| 8 | Slimes | 1 | 5.3% | 8 | 37.5% | 59.9% | 48.6% | 57.1% | 1307 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 2 | 10.5% | 12 | 41.7% | 43.4% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 1403 | — |
| 10 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 10.5% | 14 | 46.4% | 63.2% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 33.3% | 54.3% | 46.9% | 53.8% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 26.5% | 42.5% | 39.2% | 1591 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.1% | 41.7% | 45.9% | 1393 | — |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 10.5% | 9 | 33.3% | 34.9% | 40.8% | 39.8% | 1330 | — |
| 15 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.8% | 40.0% | 42.6% | 1409 | — |