Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1243
Q3 1417
1542
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -2.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
