Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
4
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
6-13-0
overall winrate
31.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1181
· median 1185
· range 1121–1234
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1243
Q3 1417
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -2.3 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.4% | +7.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.0% | +6.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
