Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
decks
2
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
10-5-2
overall winrate
64.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
62.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1442
· median 1442
· range 1389–1495
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1243
Q3 1417
1542
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 64.5% | +8.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.5% | -19.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.8% | +0.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
