Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 漫果子大直店8/30 DTR店冠賽
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-5-0
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1344
· median 1344
· range 1331–1358
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1080
Q1 1243
Q3 1369
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 65.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Exia | 15.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
