Water Astra ClericTier 1
at 漫果子大直店8/30 DTR店冠賽
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.0%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
55.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1161
· median 1161
· range 1161–1161
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1080
Q1 1243
Q3 1369
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 65.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.0% | +6.7 |
| Fire Exia | 15.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Neos | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
