← 漫果子大直店8/30 DTR店冠賽

Horse and TaxesTier 1

at 漫果子大直店8/30 DTR店冠賽

decks
2 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 12-4-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.7% avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
60.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1409 · median 1409 · range 1319–1499 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1080 Q1 1243 Q3 1369 1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 65.0% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 50.9% +0.5
Fire Exia 15.0% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 60.2% +7.6
Fire Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Fire Suzaku 10.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 10.0% 0
Fire Aggro 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.8% +2.8
Fire Dawn of Ashes 5.0% 0
Fire Neos 5.0% 0
Fire Suited 5.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 43.0% -6.7
Water Allies 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.3% -20.3
Water Astra Cleric 5.0% 0
Water Fractal 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Water Ravishing Mill 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.8% +12.5
Wind Shadowstrike 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.4% +10.3
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Horse and Taxes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/33013/archetypes/Horse and Taxes