← YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
decks
3
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
11-6-4
overall winrate
61.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1410
· median 1365
· range 1334–1532
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1194
Q3 1358
1532
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.9% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 64.2% | +9.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.4% | -7.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -3.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.6% | -6.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +3.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
