← YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Water Umbra GuardianTier 2
at YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
decks
1
(1.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
51.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1131
· median 1131
· range 1131–1131
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1194
Q3 1358
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.2% | +18.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.1% | -10.4 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
