← YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Fire SuitedTier 2
at YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.4% | -1.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.9% | +19.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rouge, Ace of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forgelight Blade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Noire, Ace of Spades | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Four of Spades | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trump Set | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |