← YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Water FractalTier 1
at YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
decks
4
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
28
14-12-2
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1290
· median 1289
· range 1225–1356
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1194
Q3 1358
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.9% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 34.0% | -10.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.4% | +6.3 |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.4 |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
