← YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
Water GenbuTier 1
at YOLO TCG PARK Sarawak Grand Archive Regional 2025
decks
4
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
12-11-4
overall winrate
51.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304
· median 1293
· range 1267–1365
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1194
Q3 1358
1532
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.9% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 60.5% | +6.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.7% | +5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.1% | -19.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
