← VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1399
· median 1399
· range 1368–1429
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1307
Q3 1420
1678
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.1% | -8.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
