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Fire NeosTier 2

at VPC Store Champs - DTR Season

decks
1 (3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
18.9% avg ELO -23.2 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1343 · median 1343 · range 1343–1343 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042 Q1 1307 Q3 1420 1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Slimes 10.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.7% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 0
Water Astra Ranger 7.1% 0
Fire Aetherwing 3.6% 0
Fire Aggro 3.6% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.6% 0
Fire Suited 3.6% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.4% -23.3
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.1% -20.6
Water Allies 3.6% 0
Water Fractal 3.6% 0
Water Genbu 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 33.9% -25.7
Water Tera Mage 3.6% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 3.6% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.6% 0
Wind Seiryuu 3.6% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.6% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/33451/archetypes/Fire Neos