← VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
Water Tera MageTier 2
at VPC Store Champs - DTR Season
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-0-2
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.3%
avg ELO +10.6 per match
expected value
55.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1423–1423
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1307
Q3 1420
1678
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
