← 0907(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點_店冠賽

Fire Ravishing MillTier 2

at 0907(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點_店冠賽

decks
1 (3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
28.0% avg ELO -11.7 per match
expected value
37.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1068 · median 1068 · range 1068–1068 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1068 Q1 1205 Q3 1402 1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 28.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.4% -11.1
Wind Shadowstrike 18.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.0% -12.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.6% -3.9
Fire Suited 9.4% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 9.4% 0
Fire Suzaku 6.2% 0
Water Allies 6.2% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 3.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.5% -18.4
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.1% 0
Slimes 3.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -12.9
Water Aetherwing 3.1% 0
Water Astra Ranger 3.1% 0
Water Fractal 3.1% 0
Water Genbu 3.1% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 3.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/33550/archetypes/Fire Ravishing Mill