← DX Store Champion Main Event
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at DX Store Champion Main Event
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
7-13-0
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
37.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1121
· median 1078
· range 1062–1223
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1037
Q1 1210
Q3 1366
1491
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 56.2% | 8 | 2-6-0 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 44.9% | -2.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 28.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 36.6% | -10.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.1 |
| Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
