← DX Store Champion Main Event

Water GenbuTier 2

at DX Store Champion Main Event

decks
1 (3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 7-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.7% avg ELO +9.4 per match
expected value
63.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1491 · median 1491 · range 1491–1491 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1037 Q1 1210 Q3 1366 1491
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 56.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.1% +11.6
Fire Crux Mage 28.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.2
Fire Firebloom Burn 9.4% 0
Horse and Taxes 9.4% 0
Wind Seiryuu 9.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.1% +6.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.5% +8.8
Fire Aggro 3.1% 0
Fire Exia 3.1% 0
Fire Seiryuu 3.1% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.1% 0
Slimes 3.1% 0
Water Allies 3.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/33780/archetypes/Water Genbu