← EVO Store Championship(need entry on tonamel first)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at EVO Store Championship(need entry on tonamel first).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Fractal | 3 | 9.4% | 16 | 62.5% | 52.1% | 54.5% | 50.8% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 8 | 68.8% | 51.6% | 54.1% | 51.2% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.2% | 14 | 75.0% | 61.9% | 54.0% | 51.5% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 52.2% | 52.6% | 1215 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.0% | 52.0% | 50.6% | 1264 | — |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 6.2% | 13 | 61.5% | 59.3% | 51.7% | 52.1% | 1251 | — |
| 7 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 51.1% | 51.8% | 1455 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 51.0% | 50.3% | 1237 | — |
| 9 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 51.0% | 50.3% | 1237 | — |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 9.4% | 17 | 47.1% | 48.8% | 50.8% | 50.5% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 4 | 12.5% | 22 | 54.5% | 57.8% | 50.6% | 52.3% | 1216 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 6.2% | 13 | 53.8% | 56.9% | 49.4% | 51.3% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 61.1% | 49.1% | 51.3% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 42.8% | 49.0% | 46.6% | 1267 | — |
| 15 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 31.7% | 47.3% | 43.7% | 1372 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 39.5% | 46.7% | 44.7% | 1324 | — |
| 17 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.6% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 1027 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 6.2% | 10 | 30.0% | 45.2% | 44.9% | 47.4% | 1113 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Genbu | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.4% | 44.4% | 45.4% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 40.8% | 44.0% | 43.0% | 1303 | — |
| 21 | Fire Suited | 2 | 6.2% | 10 | 25.0% | 42.1% | 42.5% | 46.1% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Water Oblation | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 42.1% | 41.3% | 44.9% | 1095 | ↓ low |