Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/4/2025
decks
4
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
10-5-2
overall winrate
64.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
55.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1310
· median 1309
· range 1159–1461
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1206
Q3 1421
1563
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 50.8% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
