Fire SlimesTier 2
at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/4/2025
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
43.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1129
· median 1129
· range 1129–1129
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1206
Q3 1421
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
