Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/4/2025

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	22	50.0%	38-19-6	65.1%	51.1%	55.2%	50.4%	1345	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	5	11.4%	11-8-2	57.1%	50.1%	47.4%	49.7%	1397	↑ top
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	9.1%	10-5-2	64.7%	51.2%	55.3%	50.6%	1310	—
4		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	3	6.8%	3-5-3	40.9%	49.0%	42.7%	49.2%	1289	—
5		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	3	6.8%	7-6-0	53.8%	50.7%	53.5%	50.4%	1222	↓ low
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	6.8%	8-8-1	50.0%	49.4%	50.3%	49.6%	1376	↑ top
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	4.5%	2-5-2	33.3%	49.9%	45.3%	50.0%	1224	↓ low
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	4.5%	2-4-1	35.7%	49.4%	36.8%	49.1%	1303	—
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.7%	38.5%	49.1%	1192	↓ low
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.2%	42.6%	50.1%	1274	—
11		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-1	12.5%	48.7%	40.3%	49.3%	1083	↓ low
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	49.2%	40.0%	49.5%	1448	↑ top
13		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-1-0	66.7%	49.9%	51.9%	49.6%	1560	↑ top
14		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-4-1	35.7%	49.7%	43.5%	49.8%	1129	↓ low
15		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	50.3%	59.3%	50.1%	1291	—
16		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.3%	5-2-0	71.4%	50.0%	55.5%	50.0%	1548	↑ top
17		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.2%	41.5%	49.0%	1420	↑ top
18		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.6%	40.0%	49.1%	1144	↓ low
19		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-1-2	33.3%	49.1%	49.6%	49.8%	1304	—
20		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.1%	33.6%	48.6%	1162	↓ low
21		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.1%	33.6%	48.6%	1162	↓ low
22		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-4-2	16.7%	49.3%	41.6%	49.6%	1158	↓ low
23		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.0%	49.3%	50.3%	1499	↑ top
24		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.7%	40.0%	49.3%	1276	—
25		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-1	16.7%	48.9%	40.7%	49.3%	1444	↑ top
26		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.0%	43.1%	49.2%	1333	—
27		Wind Tristan	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	49.4%	36.3%	49.6%	1239	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 22 decks · 50.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 5 decks · 11.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Oblation 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 6.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 4.5%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Tristan 1 deck · 2.3%