Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 暖角落 GA 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.0%
avg ELO -8.0 per match
expected value
41.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1407
· median 1407
· range 1407–1407
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1237
Q3 1407
1543
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 21.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
