Fire SuzakuTier 1
at 暖角落 GA 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
10-8-1
overall winrate
55.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.5%
avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1209
· median 1191
· range 1154–1284
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1237
Q3 1407
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 21.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.7% | +18.0 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.9% | -10.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.7% | +26.8 |
| Water Fractal | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.2 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.4% | +6.1 |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
