Water Astra RangerTier 2
at 暖角落 GA 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-3-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.7%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1170
· median 1170
· range 1170–1170
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1237
Q3 1407
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 21.6% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.7% | +8.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
