Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 暖角落 GA 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.9% | -1.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.9% | +7.6 |
| Water Genbu | 5.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.5 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 45.1% | -3.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.3% | -10.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.7% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.9% | +8.1 |
| Fire Rile | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 2.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.5% | -9.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.7% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.3% | -8.0 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Water Fractal | 2.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Wind Neos | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Turbo Charge, Innervate Agility. Losers more often ran: Tariff Ring, Reclaim, Scatter Essence.
Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff Ring | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |