← Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Wind Astra Cleric
54.2%
↑ top
1st
Wind Shadowstrike
57.5%
↑ top
3rd
Wind Wakeup Combo
53.1%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 11 | 72.7% | 57.8% | 57.5% | 53.8% | 1306 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 54.7% | 54.2% | 51.4% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 62.3% | 53.1% | 55.4% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 37.9% | 52.7% | 47.2% | 1311 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 65.6% | 52.5% | 53.8% | 1327 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 56.5% | 51.4% | 53.6% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.2% | 50.0% | 49.1% | 1207 | — |
| 8 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 10.5% | 6 | 41.7% | 54.3% | 49.0% | 52.8% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 43.8% | 48.8% | 47.8% | 48.8% | 1185 | — |
| 10 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 40.4% | 45.8% | 44.5% | 1282 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.9% | 45.0% | 45.9% | 1165 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Neos | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 41.2% | 45.0% | 44.1% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 10.5% | 7 | 42.9% | 43.9% | 44.7% | 44.4% | 1264 | — |
| 14 | Fire Neos | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.9% | 40.0% | 42.5% | 1067 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.8% | 40.0% | 45.2% | 1054 | ↓ low |