Wind AlliesTier 2
at 奇幻桌遊店冠賽
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-6-1
overall winrate
35.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.2%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
46.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1302–1320
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1045
Q1 1264
Q3 1449
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.3% | +9.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
