Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at 奇幻桌遊店冠賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 13.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.4 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.1 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -4.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |