← 奇幻桌遊店冠賽

Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2

at 奇幻桌遊店冠賽

decks
3 (13.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 4-6-2
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6% avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1339 · median 1302 · range 1125–1591 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1045 Q1 1264 Q3 1449 1591
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Crux Lorraine 13.6% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 67.2% +12.8
Wind Seiryuu 13.6% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.8% +1.4
Water Allies 9.1% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 9.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 31.3% -18.0
Wind Allies 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.3
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Fire Arcane 4.5% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.5% -7.1
Wind Arcane 4.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 4.5% 0
Wind Razorgale 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.3% -4.3
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Legion's Wingspan -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Expose Darkness +1.00 1 0 0
Concealed Marksman +1.00 1 0 0
Diana, Aether Dilettante -1.00 0 1 0
Evasive Maneuvers +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Draught of Stamina +1.00 1 0 0
Coronation Ceremony +1.00 1 0 0
Tristan, Underhanded +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Inert Sword +1.00 1 0 0
Viridescent Aetherstreak -1.00 0 1 0
Steady Sharpshooter -1.00 0 1 0
Veiled Dash -1.00 0 1 0
Backstep +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Veteran Aerotheurge -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Charging Galeshot -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor +1.00 1 0 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/35123/archetypes/Wind Wakeup Combo