Wind ArcaneTier 2
at 奇幻桌遊店冠賽
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1393
· median 1393
· range 1393–1393
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1045
Q1 1264
Q3 1449
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +19.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
