Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals (DTR)

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	7	18.4%	16-17-5	48.7%	53.5%	50.7%	52.4%	1314	—
2		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	3	7.9%	4-9-1	32.1%	36.9%	43.4%	42.7%	1293	—
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	7.9%	3-8-1	29.2%	35.0%	47.3%	47.0%	1197	↓ low
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	5.3%	5-5-0	50.0%	48.9%	49.4%	48.9%	1352	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	5.3%	2-6-1	27.8%	33.6%	45.2%	45.5%	1323	—
6		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	5.3%	7-0-3	85.0%	74.7%	63.7%	61.1%	1470	↑ top
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	5.3%	4-8-0	33.3%	41.4%	48.8%	49.9%	1258	↓ low
8		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	5.3%	3-7-0	30.0%	44.4%	37.4%	41.1%	1189	↓ low
9		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	5.3%	8-3-1	70.8%	53.5%	54.0%	49.2%	1498	↑ top
10		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	5.3%	6-4-2	58.3%	53.6%	54.4%	53.7%	1510	↑ top
11		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	57.9%	52.0%	54.6%	1043	↓ low
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	55.0%	46.2%	50.7%	1126	↓ low
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	32.6%	51.3%	47.5%	1368	—
14		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.6%	52.5%	53.0%	1164	↓ low
15		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	50.9%	56.7%	53.0%	1575	↑ top
16		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	64.9%	52.7%	55.6%	1151	↓ low
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	62.4%	47.3%	50.2%	1315	—
18		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	37.0%	46.5%	42.9%	1369	—
19		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	62.7%	54.0%	54.9%	1339	—
20		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-2-1	58.3%	60.1%	50.6%	51.6%	1430	↑ top
21		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.6%	5-1-0	83.3%	49.9%	61.9%	52.5%	1584	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 7 decks · 18.4%
• Fire Crux Merlin 3 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 7.9%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 5.3%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.3%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 5.3%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 5.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.6%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.6%