CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	11	13.6%	27-28-9	49.2%	46.3%	50.2%	49.0%	1312	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	10	12.3%	23-31-3	43.0%	43.3%	47.0%	46.7%	1262	—
3		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	5	6.2%	16-12-6	55.9%	62.5%	53.8%	56.7%	1233	—
4		Water Genbu	Tier 1	4	4.9%	15-10-7	57.8%	55.5%	48.9%	49.5%	1306	—
5		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	4	4.9%	5-12-7	35.4%	40.0%	41.1%	42.9%	1239	—
6		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	3.7%	6-7-0	46.2%	40.0%	52.4%	50.1%	1350	↑ top
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	3.7%	9-7-6	54.5%	60.9%	51.5%	54.0%	1269	—
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.5%	12-1-2	86.7%	56.7%	59.4%	52.5%	1665	↑ top
9		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	2.5%	7-6-0	53.8%	64.1%	47.9%	52.6%	1169	↓ low
10		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	2.5%	7-5-3	56.7%	57.1%	52.1%	53.2%	1575	↑ top
11		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	2.5%	10-5-0	66.7%	54.1%	56.3%	52.3%	1358	↑ top
12		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	2	2.5%	7-6-2	53.3%	54.2%	53.0%	53.3%	1252	—
13		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	2.5%	5-4-5	53.6%	50.5%	51.9%	50.8%	1274	—
14		Wind Allies	Tier 2	2	2.5%	7-6-1	53.6%	53.9%	55.3%	55.9%	1295	—
15		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	2	2.5%	5-9-0	35.7%	45.1%	44.4%	47.4%	1240	—
16		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.5%	8-1-3	79.2%	72.1%	57.1%	57.9%	1467	↑ top
17		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.5%	6-5-3	53.6%	47.8%	49.0%	48.2%	1364	↑ top
18		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	2	2.5%	5-6-3	46.4%	47.7%	49.3%	49.6%	1260	—
19		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	2.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.0%	51.1%	52.6%	1155	↓ low
20		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	2.5%	10-3-2	73.3%	60.3%	58.0%	54.2%	1334	—
21		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	1.2%	4-3-0	57.1%	53.7%	50.8%	50.1%	1394	↑ top
22		Fire Byakko	Tier 2	1	1.2%	4-1-2	71.4%	55.6%	49.7%	49.5%	1345	—
23		Fire Cinderbloom Combo	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-6-0	14.3%	31.9%	38.9%	41.5%	1184	↓ low
24		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	1.2%	2-2-3	50.0%	52.5%	51.1%	52.3%	1139	↓ low
25		Fire Genbu	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-5-0	28.6%	45.0%	43.6%	46.8%	1202	↓ low
26		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-2-3	50.0%	53.6%	45.6%	47.9%	1254	—
27		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.2%	4-2-1	64.3%	45.5%	55.3%	50.2%	1429	↑ top
28		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	1.2%	5-3-0	62.5%	51.2%	51.6%	49.6%	1498	↑ top
29		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	1.2%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.3%	49.1%	49.3%	1206	↓ low
30		Fire Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-5-1	21.4%	35.0%	43.6%	44.9%	1121	↓ low
31		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.2%	4-3-1	56.2%	43.3%	51.1%	47.9%	1283	—
32		Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.2%	2-3-2	42.9%	52.1%	54.5%	54.4%	1241	—
33		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.2%	0-6-1	7.1%	30.2%	40.5%	42.6%	1090	↓ low
34		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.2%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.0%	40.0%	40.9%	1174	↓ low
35		Water Exia	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-8-0	11.1%	39.6%	35.5%	43.3%	1028	↓ low
36		Water Fractal	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.3%	39.6%	42.6%	1182	↓ low
37		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.2%	3-1-3	64.3%	61.9%	58.4%	60.1%	1192	↓ low
38		Water Polkhawk	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	33.9%	43.1%	42.8%	1094	↓ low
39		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-3-1	30.0%	40.1%	45.8%	46.1%	1171	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 11 decks · 13.6%
• Fire Aggro 10 decks · 12.3%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 5 decks · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 4 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 4.9%
• Water Crux Mage 3 decks · 3.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 3.7%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 2.5%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 2.5%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 2.5%
• Water Tera Mage 2 decks · 2.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Luxem Zander 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 2.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Byakko 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Genbu 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.2%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Exia 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Polkhawk 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Tera Cleric 1 deck · 1.2%