← CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship

Wind Crux LorraineTier 2

at CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship

decks
2 (2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 8-1-3
overall winrate
79.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
72.1% avg ELO +9.4 per match
expected value
57.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1467 · median 1467 · range 1426–1507 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002 Q1 1179 Q3 1387 1736
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 13.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.7% +20.3
Fire Aggro 12.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 6.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.7% -2.1
Water Genbu 4.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 60.5% +10.1
Wind Astra Cleric 4.9% 0
Water Crux Mage 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.1
Wind Seiryuu 3.7% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.5% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.7% -1.3
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Water Aetherwing 2.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.7% +14.0
Water Allies 2.5% 0
Water Tera Mage 2.5% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 2.5% 0
Wind Allies 2.5% 0
Wind Arcane 2.5% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.5% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.5% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.5% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 2.5% 0
Fire Aetherwing 1.2% 0
Fire Byakko 1.2% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 1.2% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 1.2% 0
Fire Genbu 1.2% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.2% 0
Fire Slimes 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.6% +18.6
Fire Suzaku 1.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ciel 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.7% +9.2
Fire Umbra Diana 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.6
Fire Umbra Guardian 1.2% 0
Slimes 1.2% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.2% 0
Water Astra Ranger 1.2% 0
Water Exia 1.2% 0
Water Fractal 1.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.2% 0
Water Polkhawk 1.2% 0
Water Tera Cleric 1.2% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Longtail Grovesward -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon -1.00 0 1 0
Banner Knight +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin -1.00 0 1 0
Dungeon Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Shadows -1.00 0 1 0
Ignite Fate +1.00 1 0 0
Sword of Seeking +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Hurricane Sweep +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Inert Sword -1.00 0 1 0
Potion Infusion: Seal +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Rally the Peasants -1.00 0 1 0
Prismatic Edge +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/36451/archetypes/Wind Crux Lorraine