← CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at CoreTCG Distorted Reflection (DTR) Regional Championship
decks
2
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
7-6-0
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.1%
avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1169
· median 1169
· range 1134–1204
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1179
Q3 1387
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.7 |
| Wind Allies | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
