Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Maindeck/JWW DTR Regionals
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
42.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1120
· median 1120
· range 1120–1120
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1137
Q3 1361
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 19.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Astra Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
