Maindeck/JWW DTR Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	8	19.0%	13-16-7	45.8%	40.6%	47.3%	45.3%	1319	—
2		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	3	7.1%	9-3-7	65.8%	51.8%	57.6%	55.3%	1375	↑ top
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	4.8%	5-7-0	41.7%	55.5%	49.1%	52.2%	1153	↓ low
4		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 1	2	4.8%	5-3-5	57.7%	53.8%	52.7%	54.1%	1236	—
5		Wind Arcane	Tier 1	2	4.8%	6-3-3	62.5%	67.4%	54.8%	58.3%	1320	—
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	4.8%	7-4-1	62.5%	56.6%	54.1%	54.0%	1493	↑ top
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	4.8%	6-4-2	58.3%	50.8%	50.4%	49.0%	1308	—
8		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-0-1	91.7%	59.5%	59.0%	53.8%	1590	↑ top
9		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	49.0%	58.9%	51.5%	1447	↑ top
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	33.2%	40.0%	43.2%	1034	↓ low
11		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.3%	44.0%	46.6%	1201	↓ low
12		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.2%	42.7%	45.9%	1120	↓ low
13		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	59.1%	47.9%	51.3%	1352	↑ top
14		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-0	20.0%	45.4%	51.4%	53.5%	1165	↓ low
15		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	64.7%	55.0%	54.7%	1359	↑ top
16		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	58.6%	55.6%	53.2%	1376	↑ top
17		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	42.9%	47.1%	47.2%	1192	↓ low
18		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-0	66.7%	53.1%	52.5%	50.5%	1362	↑ top
19		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	53.9%	44.3%	47.7%	1080	↓ low
20		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	34.9%	40.0%	44.0%	1102	↓ low
21		Water Wind Vanitas	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	58.0%	56.5%	57.5%	1294	—
22		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-1	12.5%	42.2%	41.0%	46.1%	1023	↓ low
23		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.2%	49.2%	50.0%	1190	↓ low
24		Wind Astra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.4%	40.0%	40.4%	1095	↓ low
25		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	63.1%	46.2%	51.4%	1079	↓ low
26		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-2	50.0%	57.8%	46.1%	51.7%	1112	↓ low
27		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	28.2%	40.0%	41.7%	1055	↓ low
28		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	30.4%	45.0%	41.7%	1340	↑ top
29		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-1	12.5%	42.2%	41.0%	46.1%	1023	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 8 decks · 19.0%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 4.8%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Arcane 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 4.8%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.4%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Penguin Mill 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Astra Diana 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.4%