← 1/11 PTM Regional in TGCShuffle
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 1/11 PTM Regional in TGCShuffle.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 64.3% | 52.8% | 61.5% | 56.4% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 1 | 1.4% | 6 | 83.3% | 56.8% | 58.9% | 55.5% | 1619 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.4% | 56.7% | 56.1% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Aetherwing | 6 | 8.1% | 36 | 61.1% | 64.2% | 54.5% | 57.1% | 1308 | — |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 71.4% | 53.0% | 52.2% | 47.6% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 10 | 13.5% | 54 | 54.6% | 51.6% | 51.3% | 50.1% | 1340 | — |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 3 | 4.1% | 20 | 47.5% | 49.3% | 50.9% | 51.5% | 1331 | — |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 1.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 37.4% | 50.9% | 46.4% | 1362 | — |
| 9 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 64.3% | 48.0% | 50.4% | 47.6% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 5.4% | 28 | 57.1% | 46.5% | 50.4% | 45.8% | 1397 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 4.1% | 21 | 42.9% | 48.0% | 50.2% | 50.8% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 2.7% | 12 | 50.0% | 55.9% | 50.2% | 50.8% | 1295 | — |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 8 | 10.8% | 47 | 52.1% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1331 | — |
| 14 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 4.1% | 18 | 36.1% | 35.8% | 49.1% | 47.3% | 1259 | — |
| 15 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 2.7% | 11 | 54.5% | 58.8% | 48.7% | 51.9% | 1229 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Allies | 2 | 2.7% | 9 | 55.6% | 65.7% | 48.5% | 53.7% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 42.9% | 52.7% | 48.0% | 51.1% | 1303 | — |
| 18 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 21.4% | 45.4% | 47.9% | 51.4% | 1047 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 2.7% | 10 | 45.0% | 36.8% | 47.9% | 45.0% | 1534 | ↑ top |
| 20 | Fire Suited | 2 | 2.7% | 13 | 53.8% | 61.5% | 47.8% | 51.5% | 1313 | — |
| 21 | Water Zander | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 50.2% | 47.8% | 51.8% | 1099 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 4 | 5.4% | 21 | 54.8% | 40.6% | 47.6% | 44.7% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 23 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 35.7% | 44.2% | 46.9% | 48.6% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 1.4% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.7% | 46.7% | 49.7% | 1246 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Wind Slice & Dice | 2 | 2.7% | 11 | 45.5% | 58.3% | 46.6% | 52.1% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 2.7% | 14 | 42.9% | 49.5% | 45.8% | 48.0% | 1269 | — |
| 27 | Wind Ciel | 1 | 1.4% | 4 | 37.5% | 45.5% | 45.7% | 46.4% | 1116 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 57.1% | 40.7% | 45.2% | 41.7% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 29 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 2.7% | 8 | 31.2% | 45.7% | 44.6% | 48.4% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 30 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 1.4% | 7 | 42.9% | 52.9% | 43.3% | 45.1% | 1455 | ↑ top |
| 31 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 1.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.8% | 42.0% | 41.0% | 1154 | ↓ low |
| 32 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 1.4% | 6 | 16.7% | 37.3% | 40.3% | 43.4% | 1149 | ↓ low |
| 33 | Water Chess | 1 | 1.4% | 4 | 0.0% | 25.9% | 40.0% | 39.6% | 1120 | ↓ low |