Grand Archive PTM Regionals at Gamers Guild North Phoenix

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	5	10.4%	15-8-5	62.5%	56.2%	54.0%	52.0%	1319	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	8.3%	6-9-6	42.9%	40.7%	49.0%	47.9%	1279	—
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	3	6.2%	7-9-1	44.1%	46.0%	47.6%	48.3%	1419	↑ top
4		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	3	6.2%	8-6-2	56.2%	48.2%	51.4%	49.5%	1451	↑ top
5		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	6.2%	5-9-3	38.2%	46.1%	47.6%	49.8%	1180	↓ low
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	6.2%	7-5-4	56.2%	58.1%	53.3%	54.2%	1258	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	6.2%	5-10-3	36.1%	39.6%	43.1%	43.8%	1306	—
8		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.2%	5-7-0	41.7%	55.3%	49.2%	52.4%	1228	↓ low
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	4.2%	5-6-1	45.8%	51.7%	48.4%	50.8%	1258	↓ low
10		Fire Tera Kongming	Tier 2	2	4.2%	1-9-1	13.6%	29.9%	40.9%	43.3%	1093	↓ low
11		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	4.2%	7-4-1	62.5%	62.0%	53.5%	54.5%	1260	—
12		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	4.2%	8-2-2	75.0%	65.8%	58.2%	57.7%	1509	↑ top
13		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 1	2	4.2%	5-3-1	61.1%	48.9%	53.9%	50.9%	1426	↑ top
14		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	2	4.2%	6-6-0	50.0%	52.3%	46.9%	48.0%	1485	↑ top
15		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-0-0	100.0%	63.9%	60.0%	56.9%	1562	↑ top
16		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	41.5%	45.6%	46.0%	1162	↓ low
17		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	57.9%	53.3%	55.3%	1114	↓ low
18		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	45.4%	48.6%	47.7%	1292	—
19		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-2-3	41.7%	48.7%	50.1%	51.5%	1225	↓ low
20		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.4%	51.7%	50.2%	1345	—
21		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	45.5%	57.5%	49.9%	1632	↑ top
22		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	61.3%	48.7%	50.8%	1368	—
23		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	47.7%	47.1%	49.5%	1176	↓ low
24		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	46.7%	48.2%	46.3%	1597	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 5 decks · 10.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 3 decks · 6.2%
• Horse and Taxes 3 decks · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Tera Kongming 2 decks · 4.2%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 4.2%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.2%
• Wind Luxem Zander 2 decks · 4.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 4.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.1%